{
  "_meta": {
    "version": "1.0.0",
    "updated": "2026-04-14",
    "description": "Source de vérité unique — toutes les statistiques officielles utilisées sur humbolo-time.com",
    "sources": [
      "INSEE Enquête Emploi 2024",
      "INSEE État civil 2023–2024",
      "INSEE Formation et qualification professionnelle 2024",
      "INED — Institut National d'Études Démographiques 2023",
      "Esteban / Santé Publique France 2020–2023",
      "NCD-RisC — Non-communicable Disease Risk Factor Collaboration 2024",
      "IFOP — Institut Français d'Opinion Publique 2022–2023",
      "YouGov France 2023",
      "Statista / OkCupid studies 2020–2024",
      "Fondation de France — Rapport sur la Solitude 2023",
      "DREES — Direction de la Recherche, des Études, de l'Évaluation et des Statistiques 2023"
    ]
  },

  "population": {
    "france_total": 68004000,
    "hommes_15_plus": 24000000,
    "femmes_15_plus": 24500000,
    "source": "INSEE Bilan démographique 2024",
    "annee": 2024
  },

  "celibat": {
    "menages_personnes_seules": 11000000,
    "pct_menages_solo": 38.4,
    "pct_hommes_celibataires_15_plus": 39.1,
    "pct_femmes_celibataires_15_plus": 32.3,
    "par_age": {
      "hommes": {
        "18-24": 92.0,
        "25-29": 78.5,
        "30-34": 52.3,
        "35-39": 36.7,
        "40-44": 28.2,
        "45-49": 23.0,
        "50-54": 19.0,
        "55-59": 15.5,
        "60-65": 12.0
      },
      "femmes": {
        "18-24": 88.0,
        "25-29": 73.0,
        "30-34": 48.0,
        "35-39": 34.0,
        "40-44": 26.0,
        "45-49": 21.0,
        "50-54": 17.0,
        "55-59": 14.0,
        "60-65": 11.0
      }
    },
    "source": "INSEE État civil 2023 — Enquête sur les structures familiales"
  },

  "solitude": {
    "pct_francais_seuls_regulierement": 24,
    "pct_18_34_se_sentant_seuls": 31,
    "surmortalite_solitaires_pct": 29,
    "equivalent_cigarettes_par_jour": 15,
    "source": "Fondation de France — Rapport Isolement 2023; Holt-Lunstad meta-analyse 2015"
  },

  "mariage_divorce": {
    "mariages_2024": 247000,
    "divorces_annuels_moyenne": 120000,
    "taux_divorce_projection_pct": 45,
    "age_median_premier_mariage_h": 33.1,
    "age_median_premier_mariage_f": 31.2,
    "duree_mediane_mariage_avant_divorce_ans": 14.5,
    "ecart_age_median_couples_ans": 4.4,
    "source": "INSEE État civil 2024; INED Couples et familles 2023"
  },

  "taille": {
    "hommes": {
      "mediane_cm": 175.6,
      "mu": 176,
      "sigma": 7,
      "pct_sup_180cm": 25.8,
      "pct_sup_183cm": 14.5,
      "pct_sup_190cm": 3.2,
      "source": "NCD-RisC 2024 — France; Santé Publique France Esteban 2020"
    },
    "femmes": {
      "mediane_cm": 163.5,
      "mu": 164,
      "sigma": 6.5,
      "source": "NCD-RisC 2024 — France"
    },
    "preferences": {
      "pct_femmes_refusent_homme_plus_petit": 49,
      "seuil_taille_min_prefere_femmes_cm": 178,
      "pct_femmes_exigeant_178cm_min_applis": 60,
      "source": "OkCupid Data Report 2023; IFOP Enquête partenaire idéal 2022"
    }
  },

  "imc_corpulence": {
    "hommes": {
      "imc_median": 25.5,
      "mu": 25.5,
      "sigma": 4.2,
      "pct_poids_normal_18_25": 44.0,
      "pct_surpoids_25_30": 37.0,
      "pct_obese_sup_30": 17.0,
      "source": "Esteban / Santé Publique France 2020"
    },
    "femmes": {
      "imc_median": 25.1,
      "mu": 25.1,
      "sigma": 4.5,
      "pct_poids_normal_18_25": 51.0,
      "pct_surpoids_25_30": 31.0,
      "pct_obese_sup_30": 16.0,
      "pct_globalement_surpoids_ou_obese": 47.0,
      "source": "Esteban / Santé Publique France 2020"
    },
    "preferences": {
      "imc_ideal_declare_par_hommes": 22,
      "imc_seuil_rejet_comportemental": 28,
      "source": "Swami et al. 2010 Body Image; Tovée 1999"
    }
  },

  "salaires": {
    "hommes": {
      "mediane_net_mensuel_eur": 2183,
      "d1_eur": 1380,
      "d5_mediane_eur": 2183,
      "d9_eur": 4334,
      "pct_gagnant_plus_3000": 20,
      "pct_gagnant_plus_4334": 10,
      "log_sigma": 0.55,
      "source": "INSEE Enquête Emploi 2024 — revenus salariaux annuels"
    },
    "femmes": {
      "mediane_net_mensuel_eur": 1900,
      "d1_eur": 1200,
      "d5_mediane_eur": 1900,
      "d9_eur": 3600,
      "pct_gagnant_plus_3000": 14,
      "log_sigma": 0.60,
      "ecart_salarial_hf_pct": 16.8,
      "source": "INSEE Enquête Emploi 2024"
    },
    "preferences": {
      "pct_femmes_jugeant_finances_importantes": 61,
      "pct_hommes_regardant_revenus_partenaire": 18,
      "salaire_min_souhaite_paris_eur": 3200,
      "salaire_min_souhaite_province_eur": 1800,
      "source": "IFOP Enquête partenaire idéal 2022; OkCupid 2023; Humbolo Data 2026"
    }
  },

  "diplomes": {
    "hommes_25_64_ans": {
      "pct_aucun_diplome": 18.0,
      "pct_cap_bep_ou_plus": 58.0,
      "pct_bac_ou_plus": 42.0,
      "pct_bac_2_3_ou_plus": 22.0,
      "pct_bac_5_ou_plus": 4.0,
      "source": "INSEE Formation et qualification professionnelle 2024"
    },
    "femmes_25_64_ans": {
      "pct_aucun_diplome": 16.0,
      "pct_cap_bep_ou_plus": 63.0,
      "pct_bac_ou_plus": 47.0,
      "pct_bac_2_3_ou_plus": 26.0,
      "pct_bac_5_ou_plus": 5.0,
      "note": "Depuis 2010 les femmes sont plus diplômées que les hommes en France",
      "source": "INSEE Formation et qualification professionnelle 2024"
    },
    "preferences": {
      "pct_femmes_refusant_partenaire_moins_diplome": 68,
      "pct_couples_meme_niveau_etudes_homogamie": 72,
      "source": "INED Couples et Marchés matrimoniaux 2023; Kalmijn 1998"
    }
  },

  "applications_rencontre": {
    "utilisateurs_france": 7200000,
    "tinder_ratio_h_f": 3.0,
    "pct_matches_top_20pct_hommes": 80,
    "pct_swipes_decides_moins_3s": 94,
    "pct_utilisateurs_desillusionnes_6mois": 92,
    "pct_continuant_malgre_deception": 68,
    "taux_conversion_match_rdv_pct": 7,
    "source": "Statista 2023; OkCupid Data Report 2023; YouGov France 2023"
  },

  "homogamie": {
    "pct_couples_meme_milieu_social": 68,
    "pct_couples_meme_niveau_etudes": 72,
    "pct_couples_meme_categorie_sociopro": 54,
    "source": "INED Couples et marchés matrimoniaux 2023; INSEE Enquête Famille 2016"
  },

  "comportements_relationnels": {
    "pct_femmes_charge_mentale_seules": 80,
    "pct_femmes_initiant_divorce": 69,
    "pct_hommes_initiant_divorce": 31,
    "age_moyen_premier_enfant_f": 30.9,
    "source": "IFOP 2022; INSEE État civil 2023; DREES 2023"
  },

  "par_pays": {
    "fr": {
      "nom": "France",
      "taille_h_mu": 176, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 164, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 25.5, "imc_h_sigma": 4.2,
      "imc_f_mu": 25.1, "imc_f_sigma": 4.5,
      "salaire_h_median": 2183, "salaire_f_median": 1900,
      "source": "INSEE · INED · Santé Publique France 2023"
    },
    "de": {
      "nom": "Allemagne",
      "taille_h_mu": 179, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 166, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 26.8, "imc_h_sigma": 4.3,
      "imc_f_mu": 25.6, "imc_f_sigma": 4.5,
      "salaire_h_median": 2400, "salaire_f_median": 1950,
      "source": "Destatis Mikrozensus · RKI GEDA · OECD 2022–2023"
    },
    "gb": {
      "nom": "Royaume-Uni",
      "taille_h_mu": 176, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 162, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 27.6, "imc_h_sigma": 4.5,
      "imc_f_mu": 27.0, "imc_f_sigma": 5.0,
      "salaire_h_median": 2750, "salaire_f_median": 2280,
      "source": "NHS Health Survey England · ONS ASHE 2023–2024"
    },
    "es": {
      "nom": "Espagne",
      "taille_h_mu": 174, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 162, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 26.5, "imc_h_sigma": 4.2,
      "imc_f_mu": 25.2, "imc_f_sigma": 4.5,
      "salaire_h_median": 1650, "salaire_f_median": 1400,
      "source": "INE · Encuesta Nacional de Salud España 2020–2022"
    },
    "it": {
      "nom": "Italie",
      "taille_h_mu": 177, "taille_h_sigma": 6.8,
      "taille_f_mu": 163, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 26.6, "imc_h_sigma": 4.2,
      "imc_f_mu": 25.3, "imc_f_sigma": 4.5,
      "salaire_h_median": 1680, "salaire_f_median": 1420,
      "source": "ISTAT Indagine sul Lavoro 2023"
    },
    "be": {
      "nom": "Belgique",
      "taille_h_mu": 178, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 165, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 26.2, "imc_h_sigma": 4.3,
      "imc_f_mu": 25.5, "imc_f_sigma": 4.5,
      "salaire_h_median": 2320, "salaire_f_median": 1980,
      "source": "Statbel · SPF Economie 2023"
    },
    "nl": {
      "nom": "Pays-Bas",
      "taille_h_mu": 183, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 170, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 26.0, "imc_h_sigma": 4.0,
      "imc_f_mu": 24.8, "imc_f_sigma": 4.3,
      "salaire_h_median": 2750, "salaire_f_median": 2200,
      "source": "CBS Statline · RIVM 2023"
    },
    "ch": {
      "nom": "Suisse",
      "taille_h_mu": 178, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 165, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 25.8, "imc_h_sigma": 4.1,
      "imc_f_mu": 24.5, "imc_f_sigma": 4.2,
      "salaire_h_median": 3600, "salaire_f_median": 3100,
      "note": "Salaires en EUR, convertis depuis CHF à 1 CHF ≈ 1.06 EUR (taux moyen 2023)",
      "source": "OFS/FSO Enquête sur la structure des salaires 2022"
    },
    "ca": {
      "nom": "Canada",
      "taille_h_mu": 176, "taille_h_sigma": 7,
      "taille_f_mu": 163, "taille_f_sigma": 6.5,
      "imc_h_mu": 27.2, "imc_h_sigma": 4.5,
      "imc_f_mu": 26.1, "imc_f_sigma": 4.8,
      "salaire_h_median": 2000, "salaire_f_median": 1650,
      "note": "Salaires en EUR, convertis depuis CAD à 1 CAD ≈ 0.69 EUR (taux moyen 2023)",
      "source": "StatCan SEPH 2022 · Recensement 2021"
    }
  }
}
